Dramatic swings in the parallel exchange rate of the US dollar were seen in Bolivia on Thursday, as the informal forex market began to feel the effects of the growing adoption of cryptocurrencies, especially Tether (USDT).

According to Dolarboliviahoy, which tracks the local exchange rate, the dollar started the day at Bs18.80 before falling to Bs17.80 around 9:30 a.m. in a highly volatile market.

According to El Deber, a Bolivian media outlet, this movement appears to be strongly related to an increased demand for digital dollars .

As the supply of genuine US dollars dwindles, Bolivians are turning to stablecoins, most notably USDT, to access and exchange dollar value.

Economists believe this tilt is key to increasing the market value of the physical dollar.

According to economist Darío Monasterio, the rise in the parallel exchange rate is mainly due to the increased use of USDT, which replicates the value of the US dollar and serves as a hedge against the devaluation of the local currency.

He noted that the digital dollar is gaining popularity because it avoids the shortage of cash on the streets.

“It is clear that there is a growing demand for this digital dollar, and this is also pushing the price of the parallel physical dollar up,” says Monasterio.

“People are not buying dollars in cash because they are too expensive, so they are opting for USDT, which now competes directly with the physical dollar in the informal market,” he added.

USDT, a stablecoin pegged to the US dollar, has become an essential asset for Bolivians looking to maintain purchasing power in a tighter economic market.

As these transactions expand, they become less peripheral to exchange rate dynamics and increasingly shape them.

In Bolivia, the parallel dollar market has also become more volatile, as USDT trading algorithms on decentralized exchanges drive the price behavior of this US dollar-pegged currency.

“We know that algorithms automatically increase the price when demand increases, and this cascading effect is quickly recognized by local traders and exchanges,” Monasterio explained.

“On these platforms, prices change automatically as algorithms instantly recognize changes in demand or supply. These movements are observed by investors and those helping to provide capital, and prices will be set accordingly,” he said.

The algorithmic structure of the digital dollar complicates an already unregulated market, increasing both volatility and susceptibility to user behavior.

Monasterio cited cryptocurrency adoption as the main fundamental factor, but also pointed to political factors putting pressure on the exchange rate.

The recent rise of the dollar, which surpassed Bs 15 on the parallel market, was attributed to economic activities of institutions, such as the use of cryptocurrencies by YPFB, and to political events, such as the fragmentation of the opposition group.

The risk premium in the market is due to uncertainty surrounding electoral lists and, more broadly, governance issues.

He said in the El Deber report: “This in turn makes people look for more stable assets, such as USDT, and that is how a snowball effect is created.”

These moments of political crisis intensify the feeling that Bolivia’s economic model may not be sustainable in the long term and lead residents to seek assets that they consider safer.

The growing role of USDT in the informal economy

For the first time, the parallel dollar surpassed the Bs 18 level, a psychological and economic milestone not seen since a brief peak in August 2024.

The USDT rally is increasingly seen as part of a broader response to macroeconomic volatility and societal distrust of the Bolivian currency.

El Deber emphasized that Bolivians are adopting USDT not only to deal with the decreasing supply of physical dollars, but also to protect their money from devaluation.

Stablecoins are becoming a popular vehicle for dollarization, particularly among individuals outside the traditional financial system.

Source: Invezz.com

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BTC has stabilized at $94K as bulls and bears alike await a catalyst for a breakout with chances of BTC rising above $100K or testing the $90K support.

The main  cryptocurrency  on the market,  Bitcoin BTCR$ 533.565,  is quoted on the morning of this Tuesday, 06/05/2025, at R$ 536,769.86.  BTC stabilized at US$ 94 thousand, with bulls and bears waiting for a catalyst (such as the FED meeting), for a breakout with chances of BTC rising above US$ 100 thousand or testing the support of US$ 90 thousand

Beto Fernandes, an analyst at Foxbit, says that Bitcoin appears to have found comfortable ground in the $94,000 region, following low volatility during the day and a session of mixed sentiment for most North American exchanges.

“In fact, we didn’t have any very relevant triggers on Monday, except for the PMI data in the United States, which came in well below expectations. It can be said that these are some signs of the possible consequences of Trump’s tariff hike on the North American economy. This makes investors very cautious and avoid injecting a very aggressive amount of capital into risk assets. Also remembering that there will be the monetary decision and speeches by Jerome Powell on Wednesday”, he points out.”

André Franco, CEO of Boost Research, highlights that global markets remained stable, with the American market ending the day with a slight decline and Asian markets starting the session with a moderate increase, even in the face of the partial recovery of the American dollar against Asian currencies.

“In the commodities market, oil stabilized after a sharp drop, while gold hit its highest level in two weeks, driven by the search for safe assets. In the short term, the impact on Bitcoin tends to be neutral with a slight bias towards the negative, as the market remains cautious, awaiting developments from the Federal Reserve meeting,” he said.

Along the same lines, Pedro Gutiérrez, Latam director at CoinEx, says that global markets are starting the week with more stability, following the cooling of trade tensions between the US and its main partners. The recent talk about tariffs signaled an opening for bilateral renegotiations, which helped to reduce global anxieties related to trade.

“This has led to a slight drop in the gold price and an improvement in risk appetite conditions — something that historically favors Bitcoin. If this scenario continues, it could support a moderately bullish outlook for BTC in the near term,” he points out.

Bitcoin Technical Analysis

Looking at the charts, Gutiérrez points out that BTC is showing mixed signals on the daily chart after reaching the $96,000 region, where it encountered strong resistance that coincides with the upper band of a horizontal consolidation channel. The pullback to the $94,000 range, although moderate, is accompanied by a noticeable drop in volume, which suggests a temporary pause in the bullish momentum.

According to him, technically, the price remains above the Ichimoku cloud, which is still a bullish sign, and the 50- and 200-day moving averages are approaching a possible golden cross — a structurally positive signal, as long as it is accompanied by an increase in volume.

“The MACD histogram is starting to weaken, indicating a loss of momentum in the movement and opening the possibility for a deeper correction if the $93,000 support is broken. If this level does not hold, the next major support is located near $89,000. On the other hand, a decisive break above the $96,000–97,000 range would open the way for a move towards the psychological $100,000 mark,” he said.

Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget Research, points out that Bitcoin’s recent rally to the $87,500 to $97,500 range is supported by a spike in active addresses — now at a 6-month high — pointing to increased demand and a resumption of network activity.

According to him, this rise reinforces an optimistic scenario for a possible breakout towards US$ 100 thousand, although confirmation depends on the alignment of multiple indicators. Sustained ETF inflows, low net flows on exchanges and stable funding rates will be crucial to validate the uptrend.

“Traders should also keep an eye on macroeconomic conditions, Bitcoin’s dominance, currently near the 55% mark, and rising hash rates. Meanwhile, Ethereum is trading in a tighter range of $1,600-$1,900, still lagging BTC’s momentum, with sentiment more subdued amid fewer catalysts and cautious capital rotation into altcoins,” he said.

Isac Honorato, CEO of Cointimes, points out that institutional capital is not just flirting with Bitcoin, it is diving headfirst. The narrative that cryptocurrency is a “retail thing” is a thing of the past. Today, it is the giants of Wall Street that are driving the flow.

To support his analysis, he points out that in the last week, Bitcoin ETFs in the US have raised an impressive US$1.8 billion. On Friday, May 2 alone, there were US$675 million, the seventh largest inflow volume of 2025.

“While money flows into BTC, gold loses ground. The metal’s ETFs recorded an outflow of US$1.9 billion in the same period. Standard Chartered bank points out that the gap between the two assets has already reached US$4 billion, the largest since the 2024 US elections. The message is clear: the market is exchanging the old golden haven for the new digital reserve,” he said.

For the analyst, the data is even more significant when you look at who is behind the movement. According to BlackRock, the flows that previously came from retail investors are now led by large institutions and financial advisors. BlackRock’s own ETF (iShares) alone raised US$2.56 billion in just one week. Bitcoin’s dominance also soars: it reached 64.89%, the highest level since January 2021.

For Robert Mitchnick, Head of Digital Assets at BlackRock, the market’s message has been clear:

“Bitcoin is increasingly positioning itself as a global safe haven asset, and the market is voting with money.”

Thus, according to Honorato, more than a growth asset, BTC is beginning to be seen as an efficient hedge against the instability of traditional US assets. In a scenario of macroeconomic uncertainty and growing distrust in global monetary policy, the preference for a decentralized, scarce and liquid asset makes perfect sense.

Valentin Fournier, chief analyst at BRN, also highlights that after a week marked by billion-dollar inflows into Bitcoin, institutional appetite is beginning to show signs of fatigue, according to crypto market analysts. The volume of corporate purchases has fallen significantly this week, opening the door to a possible deeper correction in BTC prices.

In the past week, Strategy has acquired just 1,895 BTC, worth around $198 million, while Semler Scientific has added 130 BTC, worth around $8 million. For comparison, Strategy alone had purchased $1.5 billion worth of BTC in the previous week.

“This decline is a clear indication that the corporate driving force is losing steam. Historically, these moments precede important market turns,” explains Fournier.

Despite this, ETFs have shown strength again in the last two days, with more than $1 billion in net inflows. Bitcoin accounted for the majority of these inflows, receiving $1.1 billion, while Ethereum attracted just $20 million in the same period.

Despite the support from ETFs, BTC tested the $97,500 resistance on Friday, hitting a two-month high, but failed to break through. Over the weekend, prices retreated, reflecting less institutional buying pressure and cooling investor enthusiasm.

Since Friday, the variations have been as follows:

• Bitcoin (BTC): US$ 97.500 → US$ 94.500 (-3,1%)
• Ethereum (ETH): US$ 1.860 → US$ 1.800 (-3,2%)
• Solana (SOL): US$ 151 → US$ 145 (-4,0%)

According to Fournier, the movement was already expected:

“This decline follows our base scenario, which predicts a sharper correction with a possible drop to the US$ 85,000 region. The decrease in buying pressure from companies and the end of the ETF buyback cycle should open space for new entries further down. We are prepared to take advantage of the next entry points. This is a time for caution and strategic repositioning.

Current positioning of BRN’s portfolio: 50% in cash: waiting for better opportunities; 35% in Bitcoin: expected to fall to US$ 85 thousand; 8% in Solana: high activity, but with volatility and 7% in Ethereum: attractive price, but without clear catalysts

Paulo Aragão, presenter and founder of the  
Giro Bitcoin podcast , points out that two signs indicate a big rise for Bitcoin in the coming days, the BTC hashrate that has exploded and the USDT dominance that has been falling, indicating that the flow of stablecoins is returning to the acquisition of cryptocurrencies

“Despite the lateral movement, new highs should occur in the first half of the year,” he said.

OKX highlights that during the week, two major events are expected to impact the crypto market, the first of which, on Wednesday, is the scheduled statement by the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on changes in monetary policy and, on the same day, the implementation of the Pectra update on the main network on Ethereum.

“On Thursday, the Bank of England’s monetary policy report is scheduled to be released, revealing actions on interest rates and economic measures. Macroeconomic moves are possible,” the exchange said.

Therefore,  the price of Bitcoin on May 6, 2025 is R$536,769.86.  At this value,  R$1,000 buys 0.0018 BTC and R$1 buys 0.0000018 BTC.

The cryptocurrencies with the highest increase on May 6, 2025, are : Monero ( XMR ), XDC Network ( XDC ) and DeXe ( DEXE ) with increases of 4%, 3% and 2% respectively.

The cryptocurrencies that are registering the biggest drops on May 6, 2025, are: Flare ( FLR ), Ethena ( ENA ) and Litecoin ( LTC ),  with drops of -8%, -7.1 and -7% respectively.

Source: Cointelegraph Brazil

O post Bitcoin Price Today 05/06/2025: BTC Stabilized at $94K and Waiting for Catalyst to Rise apareceu primeiro em DarthBull.